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In a battle of teams with similar 8-3 records, the Titans welcome the Browns to Nissan Stadium, with both teams looking to earn a place in the crowded AFC playoffs.
While the Titans are currently the third seed, the Browns are two places down.
It should be a fun and free game that clarifies the overall – the temperature should be 49 degrees at 4 mph, and no rain in the forecast. Both teams allow at least 25.9 points per game, which creates some prop opportunities in favor of overbackers.
This game will be a great test as the Browns will be able to reach the playoffs for the first time since 2002.
Despite having a high record, they should have some chances to move the ball against the Titans, who are ranked 28th in the football utsiders’ defensive DVOA. The Titans should try their best to include Nick Chubb, who averages 6.3 yards per try.
Chubb has run more than 100 yards in 114 yards in the last three games and five in the seven games he has played this season. Perhaps even more remarkable is the fact that Chub leads the NFL with 10 rushes of 20 or more yards.
The Browns want Chubby to continue to get a lot of touches while Baker Mayfield works as a game manager. Mayfield has had less than 30 attempts in his last six games, so a comprehensive effort is underway to limit his throws to avoid costly turnover.
In 2019, Mayfield had an average of 33.4 winning attempts per game on a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 22 to 21. By 2020, there will be an average of 26.7 attempts, with a TD-to-INT ratio of 17 to 7.
That said, I expect Mayfield to have a decent game on Sunday, especially as the Titans ’pass defense is 268.5 yards per game, 27th in the DVAA and 28th in the league. The 78% Defensive Drive Success Rate (DSR) ranks 27th, ending the first downdown or touchdown.
If you ‘ve seen the Titans play this season, you know they will never be on the field in third place. In each team rankings, they are in last place in allowing opponents to convert to third place at a rate of 52.6%. It can go perfectly well for any defense, but especially against the Browns: who once had the ability to make money on their drives within the Red Zone, making 68.6% of their chances touchdowns, seventh in the league.
Not bad for Mayfield and company.
Prior to the injury, a wrist injury may have prevented the receiver from starting a wide receiver. Taiwan Taylor, a backup wide receiver with a neck injury, is also out with a cornerback dental ward. Backup center Nick Harris and backup defensive lineman Vincent Taylor have been dubious since their limited participation in practice this week.
The Titans will face a Brownies team, despite their 8-3 start, the team is ranked 31st on the Rankings.com schedule. Last week, the Browns won 27-25 against a lower Jaguar. But seven of the Browns’ eight wins have been against teams.
The Titans will be lined up for a decent attack day against the 19th-ranked Browns defense in the DVAA. Cleveland allows rivals four red-zone chances per game, proving to be devastating with a fifth-place finish of 72.73 percent against the Tennessee team.
DVAA does not show the difference between Cleveland’s pass defense and vs. run defense. Defensively, the Browns rank 23rd in the DVOA pass and the DVOA ranks 20th in the rankings.
Their defense in both regions is below average, which will cause some headaches against the Titans team, who are third in the offensive DVAA. Hopefully Tennessee fans will play this as one of your own adventure novels of your choice, as there are multiple ways to give the Titans points.
You can’t forget Ryan Tanhill, who finished fifth in the league with a TD-to-INT ratio of 23 to 4, scoring 76.7 marks in ESPN’s Total QBR.
If that’s not enough, the All-Pro back-up could pay Derrick Henry and his opponents 4.9 yards per car. Henry is second in the NFL this season with eight yards of 20 or more yards.
Although activated from the IR, the Titans coreback remains without Adori Jackson. Jackson has yet to play a single snap following a season injury to the opener’s knee.
Defensive agent Jeffrey Simmons is also in the injury report following a knee injury. After a limited participation in practice on Thursday, Simmons did not train on Friday and was scheduled to be questioned on Sunday.
In the offense, John Smith will also be sidelined with a knee injury, while left guard Roger Seafold III has been listed as suspicious (ankle) despite not training this week.
The brains on the broad receiver are a little heavier into this game, which will give more importance to their run game.
Since Chubb has 6.3 yards per car, I’m sure Cleveland can run the ball on this Tennessee defense. The problems of the Titans, who are ranked third in terms of Chubby’s effectiveness, will bite them. If the Browns have any chance of winning Sunday, they need to jump into the back of the chub and control the time they hold.
I love Chubby’s riding yards over. I also like him as a touchdown scorer at any time. Until 87 I would play his riding yards.
Select: Nick Chubb 85.5 ride yards